The current time is displayed top left of the display.
When new data becomes available you will be given the opportunity to load it.
Scenario: There will be a
meeting of the African Ministers responsible for Meteorology
(http://www.amcomet.org/). This meeting will take place at a temporary
conference venue in North West Sudan. Ministers will fly to the conference
from N'DJamena, Khartoum, and Luxor You are forecasting
for the event and the air travel. At this meeting ministers will be
discussing the quality of meteorological services in the continent. ICAO
and WMO will be represented by their Secretaries General.
You will also be providing a regional forecast for all of the region for
the Al Jazeera TV and BBC World Service radio broadcasts.
Non-routine forecast:
Flight forecast from N'DJamena, Khartoum, and Luxor to Nyala with Al
Fashir as the alternate.
System: You will work with a web
based simulator with access to a limited amount of data for this case.
"Time out of time": During the
simulation there will be periods when the clock is stopped for you to
reflect on how you are doing.
Key learning objectives: In this
exercise you will:
1) Think about how you use observations and model data in the analysis and
in the forecast
2) Think about how you can make statements about the quality of your
forecast
Actual Time
Simulated Time
TASK
Comment
1200
0300 UTC
1212
0400 UTC
1224
0500 UTC
1236
0600 UTC
GENERAL FORECAST:
valid until 2200
ROUTE FORECAST:
valid 10UTC takeoff / 11UTC Landing
1300
LUNCH
1400
0900 UTC
Review and Amend forecasts
1412
1000 UTC
1424
1100 UTC
Review and Amend forecasts
1436
1200 UTC
GENERAL FORECAST:
valid until 2200
1448
1300 UTC
TIME OUT OF TIME
1500
1400 UTC
1512
1500 UTC
GENERAL FORECAST:
valid until 2200
1524
1600 UTC
1536
1700 UTC
1548
1800 UTC
1600
1900 UTC
1612
2000 UTC
1624
2100 UTC
1636
2200 UTC
1648
2300 UTC
1700
2400 UTC
1712
1724
Review questions
What was correct in your forecast, what was not, why?
How did each of the data sources help?
What did you learn about your forecasting skill?
How did the time pressure affect your choices
How did you use the people around you?